, ‧Ȳ ȸǡ (8.7)
— ȹ 1, ȸ , ѱ ֿ , ּ ο 8.7() ڸſ ϶ Ͽ ‧Ȳ ȸǸ , Ȳ ϰ
— ̱ ſ ϶, Ȯ ɼ ΰǸ鼭 Ҿ
・ Ư ָ ſ Ĵ Ǫ(S&P) ̱ ſ AAA AA+ ϸ ҾȽɸ Ȯ
・ ̷ ְ ū ϶ϰ, ڻ ȣ ڱݽ Ÿ鼭 ä ġ ũ
ֿ䱹 ְ(8.2~5 ,%): (̱)5.7, ()9.1, ()10.3, (߱)2.9, (ȫ)7.6, (̰)6.9, (ȣ)8.8 (ѱ)10.5
— Ȳ ȸǿ ȹ 籹 ſ S&P ̱ ſ 츮 ġ ̶ ǰ .
・ 츮 ֽĽ ĥ ܱ Ұ ̳,
・ ӵǴ 帧 ο ΰ ũ ɷ ǹ ĥ ſ
— , 籹 ȮǼ ý ȭϰ, ִ Ȳȭ ü踦 ϸ鼭 ȹ̶ .
û, Ȱα û ΰ(11.5 ) ǥ(7.28)
— 11 5 û(15~29) α 961 4õ̰, Ȱα 424 ⵿ 61õ
・ û Ȱα(5374õ) غ 10.9% (588õ) ⵿ 48õ(8.9%)
— û ӱݱٷ ù ҿⰣ 11 ⵿ 1 , ù ټӱⰣ 1 8.
・ û ӱݱٷ ù ڸ º 75.6%, 24.4%, ٹº 88.9%, ð 11.1%
— 11 5 (5579) 5052õ ⵿ 5.7%(272õ)
・ ٹ ڸ ټӱⰣ 199 ⵿ 1 Ͽ, 53
— α 5819õ(58.5%) 巡 ϱ⸦ , ϴ ڸ ´ 69.9%, ӱݼ 100~150 ̸(32.7%) .
ѱ, 2011 2/4б ѻ(Ӻ) ǥ (7.27)
— 2011 2/4б ѻ(GDP) ⵿ 3.4%
・ ε 0.8% ̸ ȣ 弼
・ ٸ, 1/4б (⵿ 4.2%, 1.3%) ټ
— Ȱ 鿡 ũ , ȭ
— 鿡 ΰҺ 弼 ̰ ڵ ū , 弼 ȭǰ Ǽ
— ȭ ݿ Ѽҵ(GDI) 0.1% (⵿ 0.4% )
・ GDI 깰 ŷ Ÿ ǥ ֱ ȭ ̳ʽ ȯ
뵿, ü뵿硯(ι 6, ٷνºι 5 ) ǥ(7.27)
< ι >
— (ڼ) ü ڼ 1,387 4õ ⵿ 23 6õ(1.7%)
— ( ڸ) ڸ 8 5õ ⵿ 4 4õ(34.3%) , ڸ( ڸ /ü ٷ + ڸ ) 0.7% ⵿ 0.3%p
・ ڸ 1 Ǿ (Ǿ / ڸ ) 9.6 ⵿ 2.9
< ٷνºι >
— (ӱ) 11.5 üٷ 1δ ӱ Ѿ 260 ⵿ 2.6%
・ ٷ 1δ ӱѾ 275 7õ ⵿
ٷ 1δ ӱ
- (ױ) 231 4õ, ⵿ 4.2%
- (ʰ) 18 7õ, ⵿ 7.5% ϶
- (Ư) 25 5õ, ⵿ 23.8% ϶
・ ӽáϿٷڴ 120 7õ ⵿ 15.2%
— (ӱ) üٷ 1δ ӱѾ 216 ⵿ 1.4%
・ ٷڴ 229 ⵿ 3.9% , ӽáϿٷڴ 100 2õ ⵿ 0.2%
— ( ٷνð) ٷ 1δ ѱٷνð 173.1ð ⵿ 3.6%
・ ٷ ѱٷνð 179.1ð ⵿ 3.6%
ٷ 1δ ٷνð
- (DZٷνð) 164.9ð, ⵿ 4.4%
- (ʰٷνð) 14.2ð, ⵿ 17.9%
・ ӽáϿٷ ѱٷνð 119.9ð ⵿ 6.1%
İ, 2011 7 ⡯ǥ (8.1)
— 7 72.2 ڷ ִ
・ ֿǰ Ȱ , ѰͿ Ͽ ִġ
— ⵿ 27.3% 514.5
・ ȭ , EU‧̱ ֿ䱹 ȭ Ҿȿ ұϰ, ű ִ ϸ ȣ
— ⵿ 24.8% 442.2
・ , ڵ Һо߿ о ⵿
— 8 ȭ ֿ䱹 弼 ȭ Ҿȿ ϳ, -EU FTA ȿ ȭ, ڵ‧ ַǰ ȭ Ȯ뿡 Ծ
뵿, 7 Ǿ⡯ ǥ(8.1)
— 7 Ǿ űԽû, ڼ ⵿
・ Ǿ ű û 73õ ⵿ 6õ(7.6%)
Ǿ űԽû (õ) : 09.7 92 10.7 79 11.1 130 2 67 3 96 4 73 5 67 6 66 7 73
・ , Ǿ 335õ 2,822 Ǿ ⵿ 17õ(4.8%), 68(2.4%)
Ǿ ڼ (õ) : 09.7 422 10.7 352 11.1 376 2 374 3 411 4 382 5 361 6 347 7 335
Ǿ () : 09.7 3,900 10.7 2,890 11.1 3,060 2 3,015 3 3,429 4 3,152 5 3,223 6 3,094 7 2,822
û, '2011 7 Һڹ ' ǥ (8.1)
— 7 Һڹ ⵿ 4.7%, 0.7%
・ 1(4.1%) 4% · ̸ Ҿ ȭ
・ 帶 ȣ äҿ Ƿ 깰( 6.9%, ⵿ 10.9% ) ũ ö, ⸧ ȯ ġ ( 1.5%, ⵿ 13.6%) ¼
— ȣ ȭ äҿ Ƿ ݰ Ǿ Ҿ ߵ
ѱ, 2011 6 ⡯ ǥ (7.28)
— 6 29.9 ڸ Ͽ 3 16
・ ǰ ¿, öǰ ȣ ڱԸ (16.3) Ȯ 36.6 ,
・ ȭ 0.2 ڿ 6.3 ڷ ȯ
— 6 ں (-0.5) 0.3
— غڻ 12.9
ѱ, 2011 7 ֿ ǥ ǥ
<, 7.27>
— 7 ȲBSI 91 , 8 Ȳ BSI 91 (90) 1p
BSI(ǻ, business survey index) : ⵿ Ǵܡȹ ȭ̸ Ͽ ȭ ǥ
<> BSI (600 , 7.26 ǥ)
・ 8 BSI 98.9 4 4 ؼ 100 ȸ
・ ̴ ä , ȯ ϶ ȭ 볻 Ҿ ΰ ڸä Ҿȿ ۿѵ Ǵ
・ (102.2) ݸ, (96.6) 2 ġ 100 ȸ |
・ 7 BSI 104 (106) 2p ϶Ͽ, 8 BSI 105
・ ڽBSI 7 104, 8 103 2p, 1p
— 7 ȲBSI(8584) 8 Ȳ BSI(8483)
<Һڵ, 7.26>
— Һڵ Ȳ ɸ Ÿ Һڽɸ(CSI) 7 102
— Һɸ Ÿ ȰCSI ȰCSI 86 92 1p ϶
— ǴCSI(7776) 1p ϶ ݸ, CSI(8688) 2p
— CSI ݸCSI 149 133 2p, 1p
Z, ȭ 뵿 3S ܡ ǥ (8.3)
— ް ȭ 뵿忡 ϴ '3S'* мϰ å
* 뵿 (Shortage), 꼺 (Shrinkage), 밣 ڸ (Struggle)
— 3S м
뵿 (Shortage)
・ ü뵿 Ÿ Ȱα 2019
・ 2019 2030 뵿 0.7% Ͽ 2019~2030 Ⱓ 缺 2000~2010 Ⱓ( GDP 4.1%) 1.1% ϶
꼺 (Shrinkage)
・ 뱸 ȭ 00~10Ⱓ м 50 ̻ 1%p ϸ, 뵿꼺 0.21% ϶
・ 10Ⱓ 50 ̻ 8.9% ϴ ϸ, 뵿 ȭ 2010~2020 뵿꼺 1.8%
밣 ڸ (Struggle)
・ 2005~2010 Ⱓ 50 1% 20 0.5%p Ͽ 밣 ڸ ü
・ 2010 Ĺݿ 50 α ӵ ȭ 20 α Ȯ 밣 ڸ ȭ
— ֿ å
・ Ȱα 2018 밣 ڸ տ óϱ ũ, ӱũ , ߡ 뱸 꼺 ϶ 뵿 ɷ° ȭ
・ 2019 뵿 û. , Ȱα 뵿 óϰ, ʿ ܱ 뵿µ Ȯ ʿ
û, 2011 6 Ȱ⡯ ǥ (7.29)
— Ȳ ִ ȯġ 0.3p, ⱹ ϴ ⵿ 0.4%p
— 6 ڵ, ȭǰ 0.7% , ‧Ҹ, ‧ ȣ 0.9%
— ҸǸŴ ¿, ǻ Ǹȣ 1.3%, ⵿ 5.6%
— ڿ Ǽ⼺
・ ڴ Ÿ þ 0.5%
・ Ǽ⼺ 14.3% |